I want to know if this card will go up and down

A heavy new-release tax and falling comparable cards mean this Chandelure should drop.

Why the Oracle sees it this way

The Pitch Black set is brand new, having just released on July 17, 2026. Because it is so fresh, Lion Market has only seen two Near Mint sales, keeping its initial price anchored at $110.00. Right now, there is not enough exact-tier history to judge how easily the card sells. This sparse data creates high uncertainty, which is completely normal for a set this young before the bulk of the supply hits the market. We can already see price discovery pulling down similar cards. Another Special Illustration Rare from this exact set, Morpeko ex, quickly dropped from $200.00 to $140.52. Older versions of Mega Chandelure ex from the Abyss Eye set are also struggling, with one falling from $99.00 down to roughly $30.00 recently. Even cheaper alternatives from Pitch Black, like the Ultra Rare Mega Chandelure ex at $19.99, show that collectors have budget-friendly options if they do not want to pay top dollar. As more Pitch Black packs are opened, the supply of this Special Illustration Rare will naturally grow. That incoming wave of cards is the strongest force in the market right now, making a near-term drop highly likely as the initial hype fades.