I want to know if this card will go up and down

PSA 10

Pikachu ex

ME: Ascended Heroes · 276/217

Lion Oraclebeta

The price will goDOWN

Predicted Apr 17, 2026

I think it will go down from its $3,500 report-day price in three months.

I think it will go down over the next three months relative to the $3,500 report-day price. While this Pikachu ex is popular, the set is very new and PSA recorded roughly 596 new copies in just the last 30 days. There is a materially divergent newer observation at $4,200, but that move may reverse. I would hold off on buying until the PSA 10 price drops closer to my $3,220 target.

Why the Oracle sees it this way

Pikachu ex has climbed since Ascended Heroes released. For a PSA 10, my down call uses the report-day price of $3,500, up from about $2,275 just a month ago. There is a materially divergent newer observation at $4,200, but this newer move may reverse. Raw Near Mint copies have also climbed from about $522 in mid-February to roughly $884. This early run is typical for a popular new chase card, but it brings high risk. The set is less than three months old, and fresh supply is still entering the market. PSA recorded roughly 596 new graded copies in the last 30 days alone. About 71% of all recorded PSA grades Oracle saw were PSA 10, meaning top grades are relatively common. If many owners list these new copies, buyers will have far more choices. I expect the PSA 10 price to head lower relative to the $3,500 report-day price over the next three months.

Price forecast (predicted on Apr 17, 2026)

Report price

$3,500

3 months

$3,220

1 year

$2,500

ObservedOriginal forecastLow–high rangeToday · Aug 10, 2026

Swipe sideways to see the full timeline.

Hover or tap any observed or forecast point for its exact price and date. Keyboard users can focus the chart and use the arrow keys.

Solid line is observed price history. The dashed path and shaded range are the Oracle's original estimate, not a guarantee or financial advice.

Risks: High

Incoming Graded Supply
If owners list them, buyers will have more choices.
New-Release Tax
Cards from sets less than three months old often see price drops relative to their report-day price as more packs are opened.

Sources and evidence

Price history and momentum
Lion Market price data · Apr 17, 2026
Finding: PSA 10 was $3,500 on the report date. Lion's recorded price was up 53.9% over 30 days.
Recorded sales and trade activity
Lion Market sold-listing data · Apr 17, 2026
Finding: Lion recorded 67 over 30 days, 71 over 90 days, and 71 over 180 days for PSA 10. It flagged 0 unusually priced sales among 9 recent rows checked.
Grading population
Lion Market grading data · Apr 17, 2026
Finding: BGS: 88 total recorded grades, 73.9% in the top grade, and 60 added in the prior 30 days and CGC: 36 total recorded grades, 75% in the top grade, and 17 added in the prior 30 days. Population counts are approximate.
Comparable cards
Lion Market comparable-card data · Apr 17, 2026
Finding: Oracle checked 6 same-character cards and 4 same-set cards as bounded comparisons. The subject's raw Near Mint price sat middle within that same-set sample.
Card identity and language counterparts
Lion Market catalog · Apr 17, 2026
Finding: Set, printing, illustrator, and bounded English or Japanese counterpart candidates.
Set timeline
Lion Market catalog · Apr 17, 2026
Finding: Lion records the set release as 2026-01-30 and the card was 77 days past release when Oracle made the report. The evidence did not include a current print or reprint status.
Liquidity
Lion Market market data · Apr 17, 2026
Finding: For PSA 10, Lion did not have enough exact-tier sales history to measure tradeability confidently.

1 reply

@pikaboy

22d

fk I have this card

I want to know if this card will go up and down

The price will go↓DOWN

I think it will go down from its $3,500 report-day price in three months.

Why the Oracle sees it this way

Oracle price history and forecast

Risks: High

Incoming Graded Supply

New-Release Tax

Sources and evidence

1 reply

The price will goDOWN